Saturday, August 27, 2005

You Spin Me Right 'Round Baby...

Less than two days ago it was looking like Katrina was heading into my front yard. Then it was Appalachicola. Now it's looking like N'awlins is gonna get nailed. Still more than a day out, though, and it wouldn't take much of a change in course to result in a swing back to the east (although I'm no pro, I wouldn't be surprised to see an update later today or early tomorrow show just that). Foot's Forecast carries good educated "what-if" scenarios.

Regardless of the exact track, though, we'll get some wind and rain here. Inland impact will be relatively light if landfall is west of Pascagoula, but the beachfront, once again, will be pounded. There's tens, maybe hundreds, of millions of dollars in beachfront homes and commercial property from Destin to Bay County that are very vulnerable due to beach erosion from previous storms. Highway 98 from Brooks Bridge in Fort Walton Beach to Destin is probably going to get some water and sand on the roadway, if Katrina's path is as the NHC shows now, but a jog to the east may result in another wash-out on that stretch of road.

The weather here yesterday was beautiful, and today's nice too. Very warm (you'll never hear me complain about heat and humidity, though - there's a reason why I don't want to move north of I-10!), light winds, a nice summer day. I suppose it'll be heading downhill later tonight though.

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